Ateneo is led by Kiefer Ravena and supported by Chris Newsome and Von Pessumal. UST is led by Mariano, Ferrer and Abdul. If Kiefer plays well, Ateneo has more than a 50% chance of winning. Kiefer has to involve his teammates and the outside sniping must go in, or else Ateneo will be in for a long afternoon. Ateneo has the deeper bench but its big men must keep the UST big men in check.
The X-Factor for UST will be Aljon Mariano. He has disappeared in his first few games but picked it up this last game. So which Aljon Mariano will we see? That is the question. Kevin Ferrer is a match-up problem for Ateneo and he must have a big game if UST is to have a chance. Abdul is a given. He is strong and will bully his way in the paint. However, UST is a different team without Teng and Pido. They lack the angas that gives them a competitive edge.
This game will have a Final 4 atmosphere and should be a dandy. If I may make a prediction, Ateneo will win a close one but if Aljon Mariano has a monster game, I predict UST will win.